Cover art for Volume 2, Number 05
November 2, 2026 · Vol. 2, No. 05

CFOs Split On Refund Profit

Companies are building their 2027 budgets from third-quarter results that included one-time tariff refunds. ACCO Brands counted its refund in adjusted profit, Fortive left its refund out, and FedEx is holding $2.7 billion in refunds for its customers.

Two perspectives. One clear picture.Strategic intelligence on Monday. Business conditions on Friday.

Collection The full collection →
Method The full method →

Clarity has an architecture.

Every issue follows one disciplined sequence, moving from context to consequence without wasting the reader’s time.

01 Conditions

The operating environment, stated plainly.

02 Signals

Three developments grounded in evidence.

03 Pattern

The larger shift connecting the signals.

04 Posture

The executive stance the moment requires.

05 Assessment

What leaders should examine or challenge.

06 Decision

One question to carry into the week.

Curator About the curator →

PJ Bickett is a Chief Growth Officer with more than twenty-five years advising executive teams and boards across technology, healthcare, financial services, and consumer industries. Most of that work was done from the same seat this brief is written for: deciding with incomplete information, under time pressure, where the cost of waiting is real but rarely appears on a report until later.

Every issue is researched and written by hand, and the judgment in it is his own. Nothing is syndicated, no placement is paid for, and no outside party sees an issue before it publishes. What appears has to change a decision, or it does not appear. It is the brief he wanted and could not find.